This was spot on. Rice was too high to stop the transition/match physicality and although Kiwior was there to do the job, we actually needed Tomi on Sane. We should have gone the Brighton away game model but instead pressed too aggressively and gave them too many opportunities to create vertical transitions. Were made to play their game and must be happy with what we got.
Consolation is that I think we’ll be a lot better in Munich because our away set up is better suited to this opponent.
Always love tuning into these, once before and once after the game to see how right you were. Billy, are there any plans to look at what impacts Arsenal disproportionately? I understand there’s not a lot of time between now and the end of the season to get this done though, but think that would be interesting to dispel some narratives about certain players… cough.. Zinchenko… cough
Musiala on the turn vs Rice will be the critical juncture for any Bayern transition. I would fancy our (Bayern's) chances once the ball is released to the widemen 1v1 against Arsenal's fullbacks, who are by no means bad. It's just backpedalling against the pace and trickery of Coman/Sane is no easy task. But yeah if Arsenal's block can deny us space and time to turn and run at the back 4 then our main threat is nullified. Nice piece, especially for a Bayern fan to read!
Curious how we attack given that Dier is a likely starter…Kane is understandably scary for us (will be fascinating to see how he plays against Saliba/Gabriel) but Dier is well past his prime so I do see potential for us to go at him…perhaps even force an early yellow.
Thanks for continuing to churn these out during the packed schedule! I find these match previews helpful in calming my nerves both during and before these big games.
The work on correlating stats to underlying performance seems to be coming along nicely. Can't wait to see it further develop.
Thoughtful analysis as usual. Thank you. I’m both excited and very nervous for this match. I like to think the team is more up for it than I am though. Pressure is a privilege. Hoping our boys meet the moment. At their best, I give them good odds against any team in the world. COYG!
I found something confusing in the Player Correlations table for Bayern , in the Potential areas to exploit sector , why is Kimmich's Short Pass "success rate" a negative correlation? I cant imagine why Bayern would do worse the the more Kimmich completes short passes. Kinda same with Tackes in middle third %.
Always look forward to these man, your write ups are amazing!
This was spot on. Rice was too high to stop the transition/match physicality and although Kiwior was there to do the job, we actually needed Tomi on Sane. We should have gone the Brighton away game model but instead pressed too aggressively and gave them too many opportunities to create vertical transitions. Were made to play their game and must be happy with what we got.
Consolation is that I think we’ll be a lot better in Munich because our away set up is better suited to this opponent.
Keep it coming.
Always love tuning into these, once before and once after the game to see how right you were. Billy, are there any plans to look at what impacts Arsenal disproportionately? I understand there’s not a lot of time between now and the end of the season to get this done though, but think that would be interesting to dispel some narratives about certain players… cough.. Zinchenko… cough
Any tactical and personal breakdown that starts with Chekhov is fine with me Billy!
Duels, duels, duels!!! We’ve gotta love that. Great work billy!
Musiala on the turn vs Rice will be the critical juncture for any Bayern transition. I would fancy our (Bayern's) chances once the ball is released to the widemen 1v1 against Arsenal's fullbacks, who are by no means bad. It's just backpedalling against the pace and trickery of Coman/Sane is no easy task. But yeah if Arsenal's block can deny us space and time to turn and run at the back 4 then our main threat is nullified. Nice piece, especially for a Bayern fan to read!
Curious how we attack given that Dier is a likely starter…Kane is understandably scary for us (will be fascinating to see how he plays against Saliba/Gabriel) but Dier is well past his prime so I do see potential for us to go at him…perhaps even force an early yellow.
!!!!!!!
Thanks for continuing to churn these out during the packed schedule! I find these match previews helpful in calming my nerves both during and before these big games.
The work on correlating stats to underlying performance seems to be coming along nicely. Can't wait to see it further develop.
I was at the City game last week and half way through found myself thinking "hmmmm....has Rodri been making that many short passes?"
Great work Billy, I hope Carlos Cuesta has notifications turned on.
Thoughtful analysis as usual. Thank you. I’m both excited and very nervous for this match. I like to think the team is more up for it than I am though. Pressure is a privilege. Hoping our boys meet the moment. At their best, I give them good odds against any team in the world. COYG!
Sorry, will you have comments on today's match with Villa?
Great ideas and work!
Excellent Writeup!
I found something confusing in the Player Correlations table for Bayern , in the Potential areas to exploit sector , why is Kimmich's Short Pass "success rate" a negative correlation? I cant imagine why Bayern would do worse the the more Kimmich completes short passes. Kinda same with Tackes in middle third %.